讀後心得

Foreign media reports that the Chinese Communist Party may implement "strategic isolation" against Taiwan in the short term to strengthen threats toward the island. Analysts believe that the CCP might launch an attack before 2027, initially targeting Taiwan's critical infrastructure with airstrikes, followed by a maritime blockade. The CCP possesses substantial military power, and Taiwan heavily relies on imports; a prolonged blockade would lead to a severe crisis. Furthermore, this action could disrupt global trade, particularly affecting the semiconductor supply chain. The focus is on the response strategies of Western countries, especially the United States.

Foreign media reports indicate that the Chinese Communist Party may implement "strategic isolation" against Taiwan in the short term. The CCP has long threatened to unify Taiwan by force and has held multiple large-scale military exercises around Taiwan in recent years. Foreign think tanks and many scholars speculate that the CCP may take action by 2027.

According to the reports, the CCP's blockade plan for Taiwan is quite comprehensive and may focus on "strategic isolation" through encirclement in the short term, attempting to force Taiwan to surrender. The People's Liberation Army's blockade plan will employ various methods, and it is predicted that if Xi Jinping indeed takes action against Taiwan, he will first launch airstrikes on critical infrastructure, followed by a naval blockade using a large navy, and may even deploy submarines to lay mines at important ports in Taiwan, cutting off Taiwan's external commercial channels.

At the same time, underwater cables to Taiwan will be cut, and cyber armies will be used to paralyze Taiwan's military and financial networks. It is estimated that the Chinese People's Liberation Army currently has about 1,900 fighter jets, 500 bombers, 3,000 ballistic missiles, and a fleet composed of over 370 warships.

The situation from previous military exercises shows that China is getting closer to implementing this strategy. At this stage, Taiwan relies on imports for up to 96% of its energy and 70% of its food, and a long-term blockade could likely put Taiwan in crisis. Even if Taiwan has strategic energy reserves and continuously strengthens its defense, the consequences of isolation may still be very severe.

The reports indicate that if the CCP implements "strategic isolation," it will disrupt global trade, especially the semiconductor supply chain, which could potentially come to a halt, and China will face sanctions from the West. However, the U.S. president recently just suspended military aid to Ukraine and has an unclear stance on the Taiwan issue. Therefore, the key lies not only in whether China is prepared for the blockade but also in how the Western world, particularly the United States under Trump’s leadership, will respond.