讀後心得

The US-China trade confrontation has escalated again, as US President Trump announced tariffs of 34% and 32% on China and Taiwan, respectively. China immediately responded by imposing a 34% tariff on all US imports starting from April 10, causing tension in global markets. Experts point out that this may lead to significant declines in Taiwan's stock market in the future, and investors should remain cautious and watchful in response to market fluctuations.

The trade confrontation between the U.S. and China has escalated once again. The U.S. President recently announced the implementation of a reciprocal tariff policy against major trading partners, imposing a 34% tariff on mainland China and a 32% tariff on Taiwan. The Chinese Ministry of Finance responded immediately, stating that starting April 10, it would impose a 34% tariff on all imported U.S. goods as a countermeasure to U.S. actions. This move has triggered heightened alertness in global markets, with the future trend of the Taiwan stock market becoming a focal point of concern.

Financial experts have pointed out on social media that as the trade war intensifies, it may force some countries to choose compromise, but it also means that the stock market will face significant downward pressure in the short term. They emphasized that while the market is expected to build a bottom quickly amid panic, they do not recommend investors to expect a V-shaped rebound or to bet on reversals in high-risk moments.

They further analyzed that if the Taiwan stock market does not show signs of slowing down, based on the current performance of the FTSE Taiwan Index futures (Futai), it is estimated that the Taiwan stock market may face a drop of at least 1,600 points when it opens on Monday (April 7), directly breaking through the 20,000-point milestone. They stressed that this remains a conservative estimate, and if the trade situation does not ease over the weekend, the market may have to deal with heavier selling pressure and capital withdrawal effects.

As China adopts a tough response against the U.S., the developments in the trade situation are sure to lead to fluctuations in global stock markets. Experts are calling on investors to respond cautiously in the short term, maintain a watchful stance, and avoid increasing losses due to chasing highs or selling lows.

• Investors should make independent judgments, carefully assess, and bear investment risks.
• More reports, including warnings of an overall economic recession and news affecting the stock market.