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2025-04-20

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Taiwan stock market welcomes a Black Monday? Ruan Mu-hua suggests investors "prepare in advance" during the long weekend: Under the impact of tariffs, the NASDAQ 100 is approaching bear market levels.

Taiwan stock market welcomes a Black Monday? Ruan Mu-hua suggests investors
讀後心得
U.S. President Trump announced the imposition of tariffs ranging from 17% to 49% on individual countries, with Taiwan's rate set at 32%. Following the announcement, Taiwan's stock index futures immediately fell. Financial expert 阮慕驊 pointed out that U.S. stocks have performed poorly recently, especially the Nasdaq 100 index, which dropped 5.4% on the 3rd, just a step away from a bear market. He advised investors to think about their future investment strategies during the Qingming Festival holiday and to remain vigilant. The Singapore FTSE Straits Times Index also declined, indicating that market pressure is imminent. 阮慕驊 reminded that if the U.S. non-farm payroll report is disappointing, Taiwan's stock market may experience another significant drop on the following Monday.

The President of the United States has adopted a "reciprocal tariff" policy towards certain countries, imposing tariffs ranging from 17% to 49%, with Taiwan's rate set at 32%; upon this news release, Taiwan's futures market immediately experienced a significant drop. Financial experts indicate that based on recent performance of U.S. stocks and Singapore's Taiwan index data, they predict that Taiwan's stock market may face challenges next Monday.

Experts mentioned on social media that the Nasdaq 100 index experienced a 5.4% drop on the 3rd, marking a 16.7% decline since reaching its historical high on February 19, just a step away from entering a bear market. "Will it stop here? Or will it continue to decline?" He further stated that the rapid reversal of the 16.7% drop over 31 trading days indicates immense selling pressure.

As this news was released during Taiwan's Qingming Festival holiday, experts noted that it is not easy for investors to quickly formulate strategies and contingency plans when facing major events. At this stage, they should patiently wait for the situation to develop and reflect during the holiday on whether to buy at dips or to cut losses and sell. Additionally, experts also mentioned in their analysis that they have foreseen changes in the situation based on international macroeconomic factors and overall economic data, and that vigilance is necessary.

In another post, he mentioned that the Singapore Taiwan index dropped by 3% that day, with a decline of over 6% within two days. Furthermore, the U.S. will release the non-farm employment report for March, and he pointed out that if the report does not boost the U.S. stock market, "next Monday, Taiwan's stock market may face even greater challenges."